El Salvador Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Brujos Mario Calvo vs FAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
78.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
JOC
1 - 1
FAS
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
FAS
3 - 1
SAN
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 0
FAS
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FIR
0 - 1
FAS
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 2
FAS
50%
28%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |