Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 4-1
Brøndby IF vs FK Spartak Subotica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FCK
3 - 1
BIF
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 2
BIF
24%
24%
52%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BIF
2 - 0
FCN
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
HOB
1 - 2
BIF
21%
24%
56%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
BIF
1 - 1
VEJ
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Spartak Subotica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CRV
3 - 0
FKS
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 2
BIF
24%
24%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
FKS
0 - 4
RNS
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 1
FKS
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
BAK
2 - 1
FKS
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |