UCL Qualifying Third round Final
Global 3-5
Brøndby IF vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
3 - 1
AAB
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
BIF
3 - 1
DTB
60%
24%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ESB
2 - 3
BIF
41%
26%
34%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2005 |
DTB
0 - 2
BIF
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
BIF
2 - 0
SIF
61%
23%
17%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
PSV
1 - 2
AJA
45%
22%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 1
GRO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 0
RKC
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
RBC
1 - 4
AJA
15%
21%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |