Brøndby IF vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
4º
2º
44
3º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
58 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
63 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brøndby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SIF
0 - 2
BIF
37%
25%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 0
FCN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BIF
1 - 3
FCK
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MID
3 - 2
BIF
50%
23%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
BIF
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
AGF
3 - 2
FCK
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
AGF
0 - 1
SIF
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MID
2 - 1
AGF
59%
22%
20%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SIF
1 - 0
AGF
40%
24%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 3
FCN
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |