Bromsgrove Sporting vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bromsgrove Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
KIN
2 - 5
BRO
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HED
2 - 3
BRO
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HER
1 - 0
BRO
61%
22%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 1
RED
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STI
3 - 1
CHA
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 1
CHA
25%
21%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 4
CHA
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 0
HAR
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |