Bromley vs Aveley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bromley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 2
HAR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 0
BRO
25%
26%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
ALD
1 - 1
BRO
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRO
2 - 2
BOR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
BRO
1 - 1
CHI
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AVE
0 - 3
WOR
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
2 - 2
AVE
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 2
AVE
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 2
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
FYL
31%
24%
46%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |