Brive vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
NAN
3 - 0
BRI
68%
20%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BRI
0 - 1
MOU
20%
24%
55%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
ORL
2 - 0
BRI
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
AUR
3 - 3
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
TOU
1 - 1
AUR
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
LUZ
2 - 0
TOU
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
TOU
2 - 2
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LEM
3 - 0
TOU
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2006 |
TOU
3 - 0
LES
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |