Brive vs Moulins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
ORL
2 - 0
BRI
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
AUR
3 - 3
BRI
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BRI
4 - 2
LES
29%
25%
45%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LUZ
2 - 0
BRI
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
ORL
2 - 1
MOU
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
MOU
1 - 1
AUR
74%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
LES
0 - 1
MOU
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MOU
1 - 1
LUZ
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
MOU
29%
26%
46%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |