Brive vs Montluçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
LEM
0 - 0
BRI
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BRI
0 - 1
LES
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 0
BRI
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BRI
2 - 3
GDB
37%
27%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ROD
2 - 1
BRI
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Montluçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LES
2 - 2
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MON
3 - 0
LUZ
49%
25%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ORL
2 - 0
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LEM
1 - 0
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |