Briton Ferry vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 4
CAM
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 3
BRI
9%
16%
75%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
4 - 1
PON
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
BRI
8%
15%
77%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
BDG
83%
12%
6%
|
54 | 23 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
TNS
41%
26%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 0
NEW
63%
19%
18%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
TNS
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
5 - 1
SWA
70%
15%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
62%
19%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |