Briton Ferry vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
9º
12º
9º
26
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 5
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 0
BRI
61%
22%
18%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
PEN
26%
25%
50%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 3
PEN
26%
22%
52%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
WOR
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
FLI
0 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BUC
0 - 3
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
CON
0 - 2
BRA
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |