Briton Ferry vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
BRI
35%
23%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 2
TAF
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GOY
5 - 0
BRI
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -3 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
5 - 5
BRI
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 1
PEN
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LID
4 - 0
BAR
22%
23%
54%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MON
0 - 3
BAR
40%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
TAF
0 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GOY
1 - 1
BAR
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +2 |