Britannia XI vs St. Joseph's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 0
SCO
89%
9%
2%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
GLA
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 2
BRI
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CEU
0 - 0
BRI
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
LYN
2 - 1
BRI
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
St. Joseph's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
JOS
2 - 1
LIO
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
JOS
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
JOS
3 - 0
MAG
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JOS
2 - 4
LRI
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
JOS
1 - 2
CEU
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |