Britannia XI vs Lions Gibraltar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 2
BRI
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 1
ANG
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
JOS
1 - 1
BRI
73%
18%
10%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 1
LYN
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
GLA
0 - 3
BRI
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Lions Gibraltar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
LIO
5 - 0
GLA
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 3
LIO
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 3
LIO
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LIO
0 - 2
LRI
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
JOS
1 - 1
LIO
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |