Britannia XI vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Britannia XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
LIO
1 - 2
BRI
52%
24%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
JOS
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 0
SCO
89%
9%
2%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
1 - 2
GLA
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 2
BRI
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
LRI
4 - 1
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
LRI
4 - 1
LYN
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CEU
0 - 1
LRI
36%
24%
41%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LRI
4 - 0
LIO
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
JOS
2 - 4
LRI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |