Bristol City vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1977 |
MUD
2 - 1
BRI
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
WBA
1 - 1
BRI
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
BRI
1 - 2
MID
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
LIV
2 - 1
BRI
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
BRI
3 - 1
NOR
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1977 |
BIR
3 - 3
ARS
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1977 |
ARS
1 - 1
LEE
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1976 |
TOT
2 - 2
ARS
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1976 |
ARS
3 - 1
MUD
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |