Brisbane Roar II vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.7%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 1
BRR
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRR
1 - 1
BRI
24%
19%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BRR
1 - 3
PAL
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
BRR
2 - 1
RED
22%
19%
58%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
MOR
4 - 1
BRR
73%
15%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SWQ
1 - 2
BRI
8%
13%
79%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SWQ
2 - 1
NOF
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | +3 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BRI
9 - 0
SWQ
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SWQ
0 - 2
BRI
5%
10%
86%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SWQ
2 - 3
SUN
5%
10%
85%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |