Brisbane Roar II vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
BRR
3 - 2
HAR
14%
22%
64%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 4
BRR
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
BRR
5 - 1
NOF
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
OLY
2 - 2
BRR
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRR
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 5
HAR
11%
21%
68%
|
7 | 57 | 50 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WES
3 - 0
SWQ
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 8
BRI
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
5 - 0
SWQ
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 6
FNQ
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |