Brisbane Roar II vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BRR
5 - 0
MAG
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 6
BRR
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
BRR
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
BRR
4 - 2
MOR
46%
22%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 2
BRR
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
LOG
3 - 2
CAP
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 4
LOG
78%
14%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
LOG
0 - 3
OLY
9%
16%
75%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GOL
1 - 0
LOG
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
LOG
2 - 3
RED
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |