Brisbane Knights vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
51.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+221%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SPR
1 - 2
BRK
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
BRK
3 - 1
NEW
14%
16%
70%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +4 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
BRK
1 - 8
TLA
9%
14%
78%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
BRK
1 - 3
GAP
39%
22%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
2 - 1
BRK
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
VIR
43%
21%
36%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NPI
0 - 1
UNI
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 1
UNI
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 3
VIR
46%
21%
33%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 2
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |