Brisbane Knights vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+221%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
TLA
3 - 1
BRK
86%
9%
5%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MGH
1 - 1
BRK
42%
22%
36%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 4
GEO
11%
15%
74%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
BRK
50%
20%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 1
BAY
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOO
15%
18%
68%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GEO
5 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 1
BAY
14%
18%
69%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 2
UNI
54%
20%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 3
ALB
7%
14%
79%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |