Brisbane Force vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brisbane Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
WOL
6 - 2
BRI
91%
7%
3%
|
10 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAP
3 - 2
BRI
87%
9%
4%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
1 - 2
ROC
6%
12%
82%
|
11 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 0
BRI
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
6 - 5
BRI
85%
11%
5%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
LOG
4 - 0
UNI
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
1 - 2
LOG
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
1 - 1
CAP
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
2 - 1
LOG
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LOG
2 - 3
IPS
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |