Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CHL
1 - 2
BHA
49%
26%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TOT
2 - 1
BHA
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BOU
0 - 2
BHA
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BHA
3 - 3
BRE
46%
25%
28%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BHA
5 - 0
GRI
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NTT
0 - 2
MUD
10%
19%
71%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 2
SEV
69%
19%
12%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MUD
2 - 0
EVE
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
MUD
1 - 0
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |