Bridgend Town vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bridgend Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 3
BRI
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
BRY
39%
23%
37%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 4
BAR
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 1
TAF
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 0
CWM
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 1
ERA
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CAR
2 - 2
GAR
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
ERA
2 - 0
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |