Brianza Cernusco Merate vs Vimercatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brianza Cernusco Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BIA
2 - 1
BRI
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 3
COL
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARC
2 - 4
BRI
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
CIS
28%
23%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 3
BRI
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vimercatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 0
LIS
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 1
VIM
70%
18%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VIM
2 - 2
CIN
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
VIM
39%
23%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
VIM
2 - 3
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |