Brianza Cernusco Merate vs Calolziocorte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brianza Cernusco Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 1
NOV
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LIS
3 - 1
BRI
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
BRI
69%
18%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
0 - 1
VIM
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
LIS
1 - 0
BRI
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Calolziocorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
LIS
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIM
3 - 0
CAL
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NOV
2 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 2
CIN
20%
21%
60%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
VIM
1 - 1
CAL
58%
21%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |