Brežice vs Šmarje pri Jelšah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brežice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
VID
1 - 2
BRE
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 2
DRA
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
MCR
0 - 2
BRE
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 0
DOB
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 1
BRE
17%
22%
61%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Šmarje pri Jelšah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
SPJ
1 - 1
ROD
84%
11%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SPJ
1 - 1
VID
58%
19%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SPJ
1 - 1
MCR
62%
18%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOB
1 - 1
SPJ
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPJ
2 - 0
SMA
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |