Breukelen vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breukelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
VVZ
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SVL
0 - 2
BRE
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 2
ZWA
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 3
BRE
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
5 - 4
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 2
SVL
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ZWA
0 - 0
SWI
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 1
CAS
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
SWI
34%
22%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
DEV
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |