Brestnik vs Nesebar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
SOZ
8 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 4
FKH
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BGA
4 - 0
BRE
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
0 - 2
ASE
22%
22%
56%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
NES
4 - 0
SPA
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FKH
2 - 1
NES
28%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NES
0 - 1
BGA
53%
25%
22%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ASE
3 - 2
NES
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NES
3 - 0
HEB
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |