Brestnik vs Chernomorec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brestnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FKM
0 - 2
BRE
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BRE
4 - 2
ROZ
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
FKS
0 - 1
BRE
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
STA
1 - 3
BRE
29%
26%
46%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
3 - 0
SOZ
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LEV
1 - 3
CHN
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
STA
2 - 1
CHN
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 2
SOZ
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TUN
3 - 1
CHN
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CHN
3 - 1
BGA
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +3 |