Stade Brestois II vs Union Sportive Fougères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
14º
12º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Brestois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
0 - 1
SBR
39%
22%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PLO
0 - 4
BRE
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 5
LOC
40%
24%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
DIN
2 - 4
BRE
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 3
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Union Sportive Fougères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 3
USF
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
USF
10 - 2
UST
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SBR
0 - 4
USF
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
USF
2 - 0
PON
34%
25%
41%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
USF
4 - 1
STA
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |