Brescia vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
LIV
4 - 2
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 1
FRO
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRE
45%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 2
BRE
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
BOL
26%
29%
45%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
LAT
1 - 1
ACD
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
LIV
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |