Brescia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
FCC
0 - 0
BRE
50%
28%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MES
2 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
4 - 1
ASS
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
SSS
1 - 0
VER
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
UDI
2 - 2
SSS
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
SSS
0 - 0
FCC
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
SSS
2 - 1
MES
34%
31%
36%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
BAR
3 - 0
SSS
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |