Brescia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UDI
0 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 2
LAZ
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 1
BRE
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BRE
0 - 3
CHI
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 0
JUV
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAT
3 - 2
LEC
48%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 4
PAL
31%
26%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |