Brescia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 0
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
CRO
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRO
24%
27%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEO
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |