Brescia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MOD
1 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 2
ASC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
2 - 1
BRE
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
1 - 3
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 0
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 0
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
NOV
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 2
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIC
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |