Brescia vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 2
BRE
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
PES
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 0
BRE
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BRE
4 - 0
CAG
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
PRG
4 - 0
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 0
SPE
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 1
LAT
58%
25%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 0
VIC
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
PES
2 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2015 |
SPE
2 - 0
SAL
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |