Brescia vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 2
BRE
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
PAL
32%
28%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LAT
2 - 0
BRE
25%
28%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BRE
27%
27%
45%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
CTT
40%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 2
JUS
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |