Brescia vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
EMP
1 - 2
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 0
REG
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 2
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 1
FRO
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 1
BRE
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 1
GRO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
SAS
1 - 0
ANC
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
1 - 2
ASC
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
VIC
2 - 2
ANC
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ANC
0 - 1
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |