Brescia U19 vs Genoa U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
7º
13º
10º
69
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
PAR
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 2
BRE
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
COM
3 - 5
BRE
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 7
ASS
40%
22%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PUB
1 - 2
BRE
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CRE
1 - 2
GEN
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
4 - 1
USA
68%
17%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GEN
2 - 2
COM
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MIL
1 - 2
GEN
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |