Brescia U19 vs Como U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
13º
9º
43
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
VEN
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UDI
3 - 1
BRE
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
CRE
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 5
BRE
38%
24%
39%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BRE
4 - 1
USA
56%
20%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Como U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
REN
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
COM
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
COM
67%
17%
15%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
VIC
52%
20%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
REG
2 - 1
COM
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |