Brescello vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
JUV
4 - 0
BRE
95%
4%
1%
|
53 | 93 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
6%
19%
76%
|
52 | 93 | 41 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 1
BRE
75%
17%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
BRE
4 - 1
ASL
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
CTT
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
FER
0 - 3
COM
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 3
SAL
20%
26%
55%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 0
COM
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
12%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |