Brescello vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 1
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 0
ABN
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
SAN
2 - 0
BRE
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
LIV
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BRE
0 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 2
ASL
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
SIE
3 - 1
LEC
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
LEC
0 - 0
USC
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |