Breitenrain vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
68.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ETO
2 - 0
BRE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAV
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
BRE
2 - 1
FCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCB
3 - 1
BRE
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCB
0 - 3
BRE
4%
10%
87%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | +1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 0
LUG
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 2
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 3
STG
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 5
LUG
5%
12%
83%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |