Breitenrain vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 3
BAS
31%
25%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
RAP
1 - 0
BRE
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
UZU
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
YFJ
3 - 1
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAV
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 1
LEM
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
NEX
4 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCA
3 - 2
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ZOL
0 - 5
FCA
5%
10%
85%
|
67 | 10 | 57 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
WIL
0 - 0
FCA
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |