Breitenrain vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
GRA
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SOL
1 - 1
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
ZOF
72%
17%
10%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 2
BRE
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
BAS
35%
24%
41%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
DOR
0 - 5
BAD
52%
22%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
OLD
2 - 0
BAD
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WAN
1 - 3
BAD
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BAD
4 - 0
THU
49%
23%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAD
1 - 3
GRA
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |