Breidablik vs Stjarnan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
6º
6º
46
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
46 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 10 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 3 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breidablik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 1
ZOR
33%
24%
43%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
KRR
4 - 3
BRE
32%
24%
44%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 2
BRE
39%
24%
36%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
VIK
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
MTA
3 - 2
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stjarnan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 1
VIK
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 0
KRR
43%
25%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FHH
1 - 3
STJ
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
2 - 0
STJ
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
STJ
3 - 0
KEF
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |