Breidablik vs Selfoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
17.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breidablik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 2
FRA
47%
23%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BIB
0 - 7
BRE
15%
20%
65%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 0
HAU
71%
17%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
4 - 3
STJ
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
THO
1 - 2
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Selfoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
THR
2 - 3
SEL
24%
22%
55%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
SEL
57%
21%
21%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SEL
3 - 2
HAU
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
REY
1 - 3
SEL
32%
25%
44%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEL
4 - 3
BIB
57%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |