Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 4-5
Breidablik vs FS Jelgava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Breidablik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
IBV
0 - 2
BRE
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2016 |
IAA
1 - 2
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
BRE
0 - 1
FHH
41%
26%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2016 |
STJ
1 - 3
BRE
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FS Jelgava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
FKJ
4 - 3
VEN
33%
28%
40%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
FKJ
0 - 1
FKS
48%
27%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LIE
0 - 1
FKJ
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FKJ
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FKS
0 - 1
FKJ
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |