Bree vs Heusden-Zolder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MAL
1 - 2
BRE
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ZWA
0 - 0
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 2
LEO
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
OVE
2 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heusden-Zolder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
HEU
2 - 4
GEE
20%
23%
57%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 0
HEU
64%
20%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 0
SPA
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
PAT
3 - 1
HEU
70%
18%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
HEU
1 - 4
SIN
20%
24%
56%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -2 |